Water Astra ArisannaTier 2
at Grand Library League 大圖書館聯賽
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.0%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
35.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1176
· median 1176
· range 1176–1176
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1158
Q3 1260
1435
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 27.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.9% | -3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
